Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2512.893021 2725.555623 2941.672609 3177.431286 3427.062790 3683.203763 3965.577959
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2179.272138 2495.195282 2828.894632 3206.439643 3620.510568 4059.628740 4559.303696
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1947.347721 2322.396125 2730.094911 3203.768659 3736.459930 4314.554870 4986.839445
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1809.073817 2231.744551 2702.197963 3260.642688 3901.333606 4609.334815 5446.682663
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1651.093405 2102.554436 2616.222686 3238.089672 3964.553897 4780.438548 5759.866273
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1569.059521 2053.471339 2615.085291 3306.389178 4126.234699 5059.377511 6193.300298
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1472.675340 1979.312491 2577.461264 3325.522175 4225.416696 5262.573221 6537.244582
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1379.573835 1902.481398 2530.697054 3328.293994 4300.723758 5434.629889 6842.879869
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1247.523735 1769.092449 2407.590947 3231.380574 4250.058296 5452.486996 6962.179569
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1222.689318 1769.937908 2449.164553 3335.781019 4443.362547 5762.175826 7430.820096
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1183.684857 1749.614210 2461.851187 3402.462898 4589.427173 6014.966790 7832.356551
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1118.174983 1690.662803 2422.038901 3400.057246 4647.539537 6159.417507 8102.256978
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1040.947461 1613.311294 2356.521218 3363.784870 4663.352097 6253.559286 8314.224184
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 995.729896 1577.362497 2343.485430 3394.005904 4762.850961 6451.705454 8655.894392
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 941.353575 1525.722477 2306.975811 3391.219151 4818.367593 6593.986772 8928.224137
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 913.912256 1510.480366 2318.180722 3450.561745 4953.746616 6837.072506 9327.770855
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 858.899929 1452.841749 2269.053124 3427.031157 4979.392200 6940.084471 9551.018397
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 840.238099 1447.057161 2290.602667 3498.285870 5129.442265 7202.271561 9976.890828
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 805.699637 1415.990663 2275.371048 3518.243923 5210.900620 7376.405283 10291.637296
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 767.831166 1378.034195 2248.763860 3521.135169 5268.600831 7519.465250 10567.016938
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 700.379265 1291.530865 2149.576167 3420.030916 5183.524299 7474.523610 10598.737578
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 699.414899 1308.230863 2199.808681 3528.944652 5384.021856 7804.570158 11117.547822
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 687.082406 1306.278059 2222.302975 3598.490385 5531.156071 8065.399621 11548.267657